A face-isolation proof of the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture
Abstract
Let be independent standard real Gaussian random variables, and let satisfy for every . Using the complex coordinates we prove that the monomial support of is strictly one-sided with respect to the weight . Thus either every monomial occurring in has positive weight, or every monomial has negative weight. It follows that, for every , whenever . This proves the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture with the explicit threshold . The main ingredient is a prime-isolation theorem for exposed faces of the Newton polygon of . A -adic valuation argument at moment indices of the form separates the contribution of a chosen face from all remaining multinomial strata. Frobenius reduction then forces the constant terms of all positive powers of the associated one-variable Laurent polynomial to vanish. The theorem of Duistermaat and van der Kallen implies that the face has weights of one strict sign, while a planar convex-geometric argument rules out support containing weights of both signs. Combined with the known one-variable case and counterexamples in dimensions , this determines the dimensions in which the Gaussian Moments Conjecture holds.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2607.23887,
title = {A face-isolation proof of the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture},
author = {Michael Wilson},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.23887},
year = {2026}
}