English

A face-isolation proof of the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture

Probability 2026-07-26 v1 Commutative Algebra

Abstract

Let (X,Y)(X,Y) be independent standard real Gaussian random variables, and let (PC[X,Y])(P\in\mathbb C[X,Y]) satisfy E!(P(X,Y)m)=0\mathbb E!\left(P(X,Y)^m\right)=0 for every (m1)(m\ge1). Using the complex coordinates Z=X+iY2,W=XiY2,Z=\frac{X+iY}{\sqrt2}, \qquad W=\frac{X-iY}{\sqrt2}, we prove that the monomial support of (P)(P) is strictly one-sided with respect to the weight wt(ZaWb)=ab\operatorname{wt}(Z^aW^b)=a-b. Thus either every monomial occurring in (P)(P) has positive weight, or every monomial has negative weight. It follows that, for every (QC[X,Y])(Q\in\mathbb C[X,Y]), E!(Q(X,Y)P(X,Y)m)=0\mathbb E!\left(Q(X,Y)P(X,Y)^m\right)=0 whenever (m>degQ)(m>\deg Q). This proves the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture with the explicit threshold mdegQ+1m\ge\deg Q+1. The main ingredient is a prime-isolation theorem for exposed faces of the Newton polygon of (P)(P). A (p)(p)-adic valuation argument at moment indices of the form (m=qp)(m=qp) separates the contribution of a chosen face from all remaining multinomial strata. Frobenius reduction then forces the constant terms of all positive powers of the associated one-variable Laurent polynomial to vanish. The theorem of Duistermaat and van der Kallen implies that the face has weights of one strict sign, while a planar convex-geometric argument rules out support containing weights of both signs. Combined with the known one-variable case and counterexamples in dimensions (n3)(n\ge3), this determines the dimensions in which the Gaussian Moments Conjecture holds.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2607.23887,
  title  = {A face-isolation proof of the two-variable Gaussian Moments Conjecture},
  author = {Michael Wilson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.23887},
  year   = {2026}
}